CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."
Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood, reduced his holdings of $6.02 million shares, and Jason Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood Markets Inc, reported an insider stock transaction to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, reducing his holdings of $6.02 million shares. Robinhood's share price has risen by 15% in the past month.
Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations. Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations, saying that on December 2, the BIS of the US Department of Commerce issued new control measures for semiconductors exported and transferred to People's Republic of China (PRC) (China), covering advanced integrated circuit (IC) products, specific integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and technology, and supercomputers related to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced computing. According to the new regulations, Shengmei Shanghai and its domestic and Korean subsidiaries are included in the BIS entity list. ACM Research, Inc and its direct subsidiaries outside Chinese mainland are not included in the list. The company is comprehensively evaluating the potential impact of the new regulations on the company's business and operation plans. Based on the current information, the company believes that as the company has established diversified supply chains and alternative resources, the impact on the delivery and service capacity of equipment produced by Shengmei Shanghai and sold to domestic customers will be controllable and manageable. The new regulations will not affect the company's product sales, delivery and service capabilities to overseas customers. Consistent with previous years, the company plans to voluntarily disclose the announcement of 2024 annual operating results and 2025 annual operating results forecast in January 2025.CITIC Jiantou: With the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that recently, the National Energy Administration issued the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovation and Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field", proposing that new business entities should be exempted from applying for power business licenses and exploring the mechanism of establishing new energy direct connection to increase the supply of green power for enterprises. Specifically, the new business entities include distributed power supply, adjustable load, virtual power plant and smart microgrid. At present, the installed capacity of new energy in China is growing rapidly. Due to the restriction of power grid access capacity, the problem of power abandonment is on the rise. The mechanism of direct connection of new energy enterprises is helpful to improve the ability of local consumption of new energy, reduce the abandonment of wind and light, and promote the improvement of project yield. Generally speaking, with the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the profitability of new energy power generation projects is expected to improve marginally, and the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.